The Improbability Principle
Coincidences, miracles, and rare events happen every
day and author and renowned statistician, David J. Hand, has taken a statistical
approach to explaining these phenomena. He has written a book (The Improbability Principle) and in it even
goes so far as to say that these occurrences are actually quite common place
and expectable. He has divided The Improbability Principle (and its explanation)
into 5 Laws, like Newton did with his 3 Laws of Motion. I am not sure that I
understand the math behind this principle but I do agree that miracles, seemingly
unexplainable coincidences, and rare events do happen every day. Some of these
coincidences are tragic. For example, Malaysian Airlines losing a second plane
filled with commuters not that long after losing the first, even though the
second plane’s whereabouts have been accounted for unlike the first. On the
flip side you have the positive opposite of tragedy that renews our spirits and
faith. The possibility of miracles and rare occurrences that celebrate the goodness
and compassion of humanity or beauty and wonder that is our world all around us
sustains my optimism. Before the book and without the proof verifying math,as I live and breathe in a complex improbable world I believe in the improbability principle.
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