Extreme El Niños

Especially extreme El Niños are supposed to be twice as frequent this century because of climate change. They happen when warm water spreads east across the Pacific pushing rainfall with it. These rains cause flooding in the Americas and drought in Australia. Africa can be impacted by them too. El Niño used to be defined by water temperature but more recently weather researchers are defining them by rainfall and other impacts on weather and this makes more sense to me. Extreme El Niños are predicted to occur once a decade from 1990 to 2090. In the previous 100 years one occurred only once very twenty years. In the case of an extreme El Niño usually dry regions in South America can receive ten times the usual amount of rainfall but even the normal El Niños bring more drought and rain extremes. Even though a moderate to strong El Niño is expected to form this fall and winter, it isn't expected to be strong enough to bring relief to drought stricken California. Here is to hoping the weathermen are wrong about that. I have really been enjoying the weather in Southeastern GA with my grandchildren since school has let out, not too hot so far and afternoon storms seem to be holding off until we've had time to enjoy the day. El Niño could negatively impact that too. I’m hoping it won’t.